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2024-12-14 11:31:04

The yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds rose to 4.316% after the auction results were announced, the highest level since November 26th.The yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds rose to 4.316% after the auction results were announced, the highest level since November 26th.CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.


The allocation percentage of the 30-year treasury bond auction-winning interest rate in the United States from December 12 was 44.76%, and the previous value was 14.83%. The auction of 30-year treasury bonds in the United States until December 12-the bid multiple is 2.39, and the previous value is 2.64. The auction of 30-year treasury bonds in the United States until December 12-the winning interest rate is 4.535%, and the previous value is 4.608%.A number of officials from Turkey and Qatar will visit Syria to meet with the Syrian transitional government. On the 12th local time, the Syrian Ministry of Information announced that the Turkish Foreign Minister, the head of the intelligence department and the head of Qatar's national security department will visit Syria and meet with the leader of the Sharm el-Liberation Organization, Giulani, and the caretaker Prime Minister of the Syrian transitional government, Bashir. Up to now, Turkish and Qatar officials have not announced relevant news.Goldman Sachs analysts predict that the European banking industry will be in a difficult situation in 2025. The challenges they face include low interest rates, slow growth and prominent political uncertainty.


CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.The African Center for Disease Control and Prevention said that Congo will vaccinate children against Japanese monkeypox from next week.Russia said that it had established direct contact with the political committee of the Syrian "Sharm el-Liberation Organization". On the 12th local time, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Bogdahn Novo said that Russia had established direct contact with the political committee of the Syrian armed group "Liberation Syria".

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